Catania vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.9%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
4%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.5%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.8%
60.2%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
15.1%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.4%
0-2
12.7%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.7%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.6%
0-4
3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2007 |
EMP
2 - 1
CAT
55%
25%
20%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2007 |
CAT
3 - 3
ASC
56%
24%
20%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2007 |
UDI
0 - 1
CAT
64%
21%
15%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2007 |
PAR
1 - 1
CAT
57%
24%
20%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2007 |
CAT
0 - 2
ROM
18%
24%
58%
|
73 | 90 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2007 |
ACM
0 - 0
FIO
71%
19%
10%
|
93 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2007 |
ACM
3 - 0
MUD
36%
26%
38%
|
93 | 95 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2007 |
TOR
0 - 1
ACM
13%
24%
63%
|
93 | 75 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2007 |
MUD
3 - 2
ACM
60%
23%
18%
|
93 | 95 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2007 |
ACM
3 - 1
CAG
76%
16%
8%
|
93 | 78 | 15 | 0 |