Catania vs Lazio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.6%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
26.5%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 1954 |
CAT
0 - 0
NOV
50%
24%
26%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1954 |
JUV
1 - 1
CAT
86%
10%
5%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1954 |
GEN
0 - 0
CAT
55%
23%
22%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1954 |
CAT
1 - 3
ACM
23%
23%
54%
|
69 | 87 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1954 |
CAT
5 - 0
UDI
52%
24%
25%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 1954 |
LAZ
0 - 2
TOR
52%
23%
25%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1954 |
GEN
2 - 0
LAZ
47%
26%
28%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1954 |
LAZ
1 - 1
ROM
55%
23%
22%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1954 |
ATL
3 - 2
LAZ
59%
22%
19%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 1954 |
LAZ
2 - 1
FIO
50%
25%
25%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | +1 |