Catania vs Cosenza Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.7%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
10%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
38.3%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2002 |
BAR
4 - 0
CAT
68%
19%
13%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2002 |
CAT
0 - 0
CRO
47%
25%
27%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2002 |
AVE
1 - 0
CAT
43%
28%
29%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2002 |
CAT
2 - 1
CAS
60%
24%
16%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2002 |
LAQ
1 - 1
CAT
37%
27%
36%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Cosenza Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2002 |
CRO
0 - 0
COS
44%
25%
32%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2002 |
COS
0 - 1
BAR
40%
26%
34%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2002 |
EMP
1 - 2
COS
69%
19%
12%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2002 |
COS
3 - 2
PAL
46%
26%
28%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2002 |
CAG
2 - 1
COS
59%
23%
17%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | -1 |