Catania vs Catanzaro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.7%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
17.2%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.8%
32.8%
Draw
0-0
16.9%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
32.8%
26.6%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 1974 |
PAL
1 - 1
CAT
65%
24%
11%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1974 |
CAT
1 - 2
BRE
43%
33%
24%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1974 |
ATL
1 - 0
CAT
60%
28%
12%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 1974 |
CAT
1 - 1
ASC
27%
29%
44%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1974 |
CAT
1 - 0
AVE
40%
29%
32%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 1974 |
FCC
1 - 0
ASC
35%
30%
34%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1974 |
FCC
2 - 0
PAR
53%
30%
17%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 May. 1974 |
TAR
2 - 1
FCC
44%
33%
24%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1974 |
FCC
0 - 0
ATL
44%
33%
23%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1974 |
VAR
3 - 1
FCC
60%
26%
14%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | -1 |