Catania vs Empoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.8%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
46.6%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2001 |
SAL
3 - 0
CAT
62%
22%
17%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2001 |
CAT
2 - 1
VIT
60%
23%
17%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2001 |
CAT
2 - 1
NOC
58%
26%
17%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2001 |
CAT
2 - 0
SAS
51%
25%
25%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2001 |
BEN
2 - 3
CAT
33%
27%
40%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Empoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2001 |
EMP
1 - 0
ANC
60%
21%
19%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2001 |
VNZ
2 - 2
EMP
57%
24%
19%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2001 |
EMP
3 - 1
ANC
61%
22%
17%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2001 |
ASS
0 - 1
EMP
28%
28%
45%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2001 |
EMP
2 - 1
TOR
38%
26%
36%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |