Catania vs Casertana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.2%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
21.5%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+80%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
FCC
2 - 0
CAT
45%
27%
28%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
CAT
5 - 2
RPO
56%
25%
20%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
CAT
1 - 0
VIT
56%
24%
20%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
CAV
0 - 2
CAT
18%
26%
57%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
CAT
3 - 1
AVE
30%
28%
42%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
Casertana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
CAS
2 - 3
JUS
33%
27%
40%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2021 |
MON
0 - 1
CAS
50%
26%
24%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2021 |
VIT
5 - 2
CAS
38%
27%
35%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | -2 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
CAS
2 - 3
PAL
22%
28%
51%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
CAS
2 - 1
CAV
65%
20%
15%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | 0 |