Catania vs Atalanta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.4%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
24.7%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2012 |
CAT
1 - 2
LEC
54%
25%
21%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
CHI
3 - 2
CAT
39%
28%
33%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
CAT
1 - 1
ACM
20%
25%
55%
|
81 | 90 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
NAP
2 - 2
CAT
68%
19%
13%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
CAT
1 - 0
LAZ
35%
26%
39%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2012 |
NAP
1 - 3
ATL
70%
19%
11%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
ATL
1 - 2
SIE
48%
26%
26%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
CAG
2 - 0
ATL
48%
26%
26%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
ATL
2 - 0
BOL
48%
27%
26%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
INT
0 - 0
ATL
78%
14%
8%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | 0 |