Catania vs SSC Bari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.2%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
45.9%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.8%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2021 |
TER
5 - 1
CAT
62%
22%
16%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2021 |
CAT
1 - 0
FRA
54%
25%
22%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2021 |
JUS
1 - 1
CAT
47%
25%
28%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
CAT
3 - 1
MON
47%
26%
27%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
CAT
2 - 1
USF
22%
26%
53%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2021 |
BAR
1 - 0
MON
67%
20%
13%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
BAR
0 - 1
VIT
76%
16%
8%
|
62 | 47 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2021 |
BAR
1 - 1
CAV
76%
16%
8%
|
62 | 42 | 20 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2021 |
TER
2 - 1
BAR
20%
26%
53%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
BAR
4 - 1
FRA
73%
18%
9%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | 0 |