Catania vs Reggiana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.5%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
26.7%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 1950 |
CAT
3 - 1
SIR
57%
21%
22%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1950 |
CAT
1 - 0
FAN
64%
19%
17%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1950 |
BRE
2 - 1
CAT
68%
17%
15%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1950 |
USC
1 - 0
CAT
50%
23%
28%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 1950 |
CAT
1 - 1
VER
51%
22%
27%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Reggiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 1950 |
SIR
2 - 0
REG
57%
20%
23%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1950 |
REG
2 - 0
PIS
71%
16%
13%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 1950 |
ANC
1 - 2
REG
47%
22%
31%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1950 |
REG
1 - 2
MOD
56%
22%
22%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1950 |
BAR
0 - 0
REG
49%
23%
28%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |