Catania vs Mantova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.4%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
21.4%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2006 |
VIC
0 - 2
CAT
36%
27%
37%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2006 |
AVE
1 - 1
CAT
30%
27%
43%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2006 |
CAT
3 - 2
CRO
54%
25%
20%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2006 |
ATL
1 - 2
CAT
59%
24%
17%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2006 |
CAT
0 - 1
BAR
59%
24%
17%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Mantova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2006 |
MAN
3 - 2
CRO
46%
28%
26%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2006 |
ATL
2 - 1
MAN
54%
25%
21%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2006 |
RIM
1 - 3
MAN
48%
26%
26%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2006 |
MAN
0 - 1
VIC
58%
24%
18%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2006 |
MAN
1 - 1
PIA
45%
28%
27%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |