Catanduvense vs América SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.7%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
20.7%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catanduvense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2010 |
ATL
0 - 1
CAT
53%
23%
24%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2010 |
MAR
0 - 1
CAT
78%
14%
8%
|
49 | 69 | 20 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2010 |
CAT
1 - 2
UNI
40%
24%
36%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
CAT
4 - 0
POR
55%
22%
23%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
COM
0 - 1
CAT
46%
25%
30%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
América SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2010 |
AME
1 - 0
NOR
40%
25%
35%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
AME
1 - 3
LIN
54%
23%
24%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2010 |
SAO
2 - 1
AME
55%
24%
22%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
FER
0 - 0
AME
54%
24%
22%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
AME
3 - 1
ATL
38%
24%
38%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | +1 |