Castuera vs Hernán Cortés analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.6%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
36.7%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+170%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castuera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
CAS
1 - 2
MON
48%
23%
29%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
GUA
2 - 3
CAS
46%
24%
30%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
ZAL
2 - 0
CAS
23%
23%
54%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | -2 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
VAL
1 - 1
CAS
24%
23%
54%
|
13 | 8 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
CAS
2 - 0
CAB
52%
22%
26%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Hernán Cortés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
HER
1 - 2
GUA
62%
21%
18%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
ZAL
2 - 0
HER
24%
24%
52%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
HER
4 - 0
VAL
74%
17%
9%
|
15 | 9 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
CAB
1 - 0
HER
24%
23%
52%
|
15 | 10 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
HER
1 - 1
CDN
51%
23%
27%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | -1 |