Castuera vs CD Don Benito analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.7%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.5%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
46.6%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+147%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castuera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
PLA
2 - 0
CAS
33%
26%
41%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
CAS
0 - 0
HER
59%
22%
19%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
PUE
2 - 1
CAS
23%
24%
53%
|
23 | 15 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
CAS
3 - 1
COR
47%
23%
30%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
UDF
1 - 1
CAS
32%
24%
44%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
CD Don Benito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
DBN
1 - 2
UDF
69%
19%
12%
|
33 | 18 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
JER
1 - 1
DBN
36%
28%
36%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
DBN
0 - 0
EXT
44%
28%
29%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
MAD
1 - 0
DBN
40%
25%
35%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2013 |
DBN
3 - 0
CPC
68%
20%
13%
|
35 | 19 | 16 | 0 |