Castrovillari vs Roccella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.3%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
29.8%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castrovillari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
ROT
1 - 2
USC
33%
22%
44%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
USC
0 - 2
NOC
28%
23%
50%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | -2 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
ASD
1 - 1
USC
65%
19%
17%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
USC
0 - 0
PAL
48%
22%
29%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
POR
1 - 1
USC
45%
22%
32%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Roccella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
ACI
1 - 1
ROC
48%
25%
27%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
ROC
0 - 2
LOC
67%
17%
16%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | -2 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
MAR
2 - 0
ROC
32%
26%
42%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | -2 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
ROC
4 - 1
TUR
45%
24%
31%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | +2 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
ROC
0 - 1
CIT
46%
22%
32%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | -3 |