Castrovillari vs Rende analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.9%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
40.2%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castrovillari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2020 |
USC
1 - 1
SMC
36%
23%
41%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
PAT
1 - 2
USC
72%
17%
11%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
USC
1 - 1
DAT
42%
23%
35%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
USC
0 - 2
ROC
57%
23%
20%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
STO
1 - 2
USC
20%
20%
60%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Rende
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
REN
1 - 1
ROT
65%
20%
16%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2020 |
REN
0 - 4
CCI
60%
22%
18%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | -2 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
GEL
0 - 0
REN
28%
25%
48%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
ACI
3 - 1
REN
34%
27%
39%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Jun. 2020 |
PIC
3 - 0
REN
52%
24%
24%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | 0 |