Castrovillari vs Paternò analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.1%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.5%
2-0
5%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.8%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
40.3%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castrovillari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
DAT
1 - 1
USC
59%
20%
21%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2021 |
MDR
2 - 1
USC
29%
23%
49%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
LIC
2 - 1
USC
55%
21%
24%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2021 |
USC
1 - 1
CIT
33%
29%
38%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2021 |
USC
1 - 2
ACI
30%
27%
43%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Paternò
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
PAT
0 - 1
ROC
73%
16%
11%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
PAT
1 - 3
GEL
52%
24%
24%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | -2 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
CIT
1 - 0
PAT
47%
25%
28%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
CCI
1 - 1
PAT
26%
22%
52%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2021 |
ASD
3 - 0
PAT
19%
22%
59%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | -2 |