Castrovillari vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.5%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.6%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
34.4%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-40%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castrovillari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
ROC
1 - 1
USC
37%
23%
40%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
USC
0 - 1
ROT
77%
15%
8%
|
31 | 18 | 13 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
NOC
1 - 1
USC
54%
22%
24%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
USC
2 - 1
ASD
34%
23%
43%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
PAL
0 - 0
USC
50%
22%
28%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
MES
5 - 2
TUR
37%
25%
39%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
ACI
1 - 0
MES
44%
26%
30%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2019 |
ALB
2 - 2
MES
66%
21%
13%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
MES
3 - 5
CCI
63%
19%
18%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
MAR
1 - 1
MES
42%
27%
32%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |