Castrovillari vs Cittanova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.6%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
28.6%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castrovillari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2021 |
ACI
2 - 2
USC
57%
22%
20%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
USC
3 - 1
MDR
47%
24%
29%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2021 |
BIA
1 - 0
USC
55%
21%
24%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
USC
1 - 3
MES
24%
28%
48%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | -2 |
| 07 Apr. 2021 |
USC
2 - 0
ROC
61%
22%
17%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Cittanova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2021 |
CCI
0 - 1
ASD
47%
25%
29%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
CCI
2 - 1
ROC
73%
17%
10%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
GEL
2 - 1
CCI
61%
22%
17%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2021 |
CCI
0 - 0
CIT
26%
25%
49%
|
29 | 42 | 13 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
ACI
1 - 0
CCI
64%
20%
16%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | -1 |