Castrovillari vs Marina di Ragusa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.4%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
28.9%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castrovillari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2021 |
BIA
1 - 0
USC
55%
21%
24%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
USC
1 - 3
MES
24%
28%
48%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | -2 |
| 07 Apr. 2021 |
USC
2 - 0
ROC
61%
22%
17%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2021 |
CSA
2 - 1
USC
49%
22%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
USC
0 - 0
ASD
47%
25%
28%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Marina di Ragusa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2021 |
MDR
3 - 2
ROC
69%
18%
13%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
GEL
2 - 1
MDR
65%
20%
15%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2021 |
MDR
3 - 3
CIT
22%
23%
55%
|
26 | 42 | 16 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
ACI
2 - 1
MDR
70%
18%
13%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
MDR
2 - 3
ROT
38%
24%
38%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | -1 |