Castrovillari vs Acireale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.2%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.3%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
43.2%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castrovillari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
USC
0 - 1
GEL
42%
25%
33%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2021 |
ASD
0 - 1
USC
33%
26%
41%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 2020 |
USC
1 - 0
BIA
50%
23%
27%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
MES
1 - 0
USC
45%
24%
31%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
USC
1 - 1
CSA
54%
22%
25%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Acireale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
PAT
1 - 0
ACI
48%
24%
28%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2021 |
ACI
0 - 0
ROT
70%
18%
13%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2020 |
GEL
3 - 2
ACI
21%
26%
53%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | -2 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
CCI
1 - 4
ACI
29%
24%
47%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | +2 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
ACI
2 - 0
LIC
46%
25%
29%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | +1 |