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Serie D. Group I, Matchday 11

Castrovillari Acireale
19 ELO 25
12% Tilt 60%
5499º General ELO ranking 4231º
243º Country ELO ranking 143º
ELO win probability
32.6%
Castrovillari
23.7%
Draw
43.7%
Acireale

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.6%
Win probability
Castrovillari
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.8%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
43.7%
Win probability
Acireale
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Castrovillari
-4%
+39%
Acireale

Points and table prediction

Castrovillari
Their league position
Acireale
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
15º
10º
54
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Messina
68
71
84%
Città di Messina
66
69
78%
Gelbison
61
63
100%
San Luca
58
59
100%
Acireale
54
56
100%
Dattilo
52
53
100%
Rotonda
46
47
36%
Santa Maria Cilento
45
46
19%
Biancavilla
44
48
23%
Castrovillari
10º
41
43
11º
15%
Licata
11º
40
43
10º
45%
A.S.D. Paternò 1908
12º
39
41
12º
50%
Troina
13º
36
37
13º
56%
Cittanovese
14º
33
37
14º
49%
Cittá Di Sant'Agata
15º
33
35
15º
46%
Rende
16º
31
33
16º
45%
Marina di Ragusa
17º
30
32
17º
57%
Roccella
18º
20
21
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Castrovillari
Acireale
Champion
0% 0%
Promotion playoffs
0% 100%
Mid-table
100% 0%
Relegation playoffs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Acireale
ACI
Castrovillari
USC
Roccella
ROC
Rotonda
ROT
Città di Messina
CIT
Dattilo
DAT
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Castrovillari
Castrovillari
1%
X%
2%
ELO USC ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Feb. 2021
MDR
Marina di Ragusa
2 - 1
Castrovillari
USC
45%
27%
28%
253 273 20 0
23 Dec. 2020
USC
Castrovillari
1 - 0
Biancavilla
BIA
46%
27%
28%
253 289 -36 0
20 Dec. 2020
MES
Messina
1 - 0
Castrovillari
USC
49%
26%
25%
253 362 109 0
13 Dec. 2020
USC
Castrovillari
1 - 1
Cittá Di Sant'Agata
CSA
46%
27%
28%
253 292 -39 0
04 Nov. 2020
LUC
San Luca
1 - 0
Castrovillari
USC
47%
27%
26%
255 297 42 -1

Matches

Acireale
Acireale
1%
X%
2%
ELO ACI ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Jan. 2021
ACI
Acireale
0 - 0
Rotonda
ROT
47%
27%
26%
318 268 50 0
23 Dec. 2020
GEL
Gelbison
3 - 2
Acireale
ACI
42%
28%
31%
318 180 -138 0
20 Dec. 2020
CCI
Cittanovese
1 - 4
Acireale
ACI
46%
27%
28%
318 263 -55 0
13 Dec. 2020
ACI
Acireale
2 - 0
Licata
LIC
44%
27%
29%
318 439 -121 0
01 Nov. 2020
MDR
Marina di Ragusa
1 - 2
Acireale
ACI
46%
27%
28%
316 275 -41 +1