Castro vs Velarde CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.1%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
18%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+48%
-56%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2006 |
LAR
0 - 0
CAS
54%
25%
21%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2006 |
CAS
2 - 1
BEZ
38%
26%
35%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2006 |
GIM
2 - 2
CAS
48%
24%
28%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2006 |
SAN
0 - 0
CAS
28%
26%
46%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2006 |
CAS
3 - 3
SIE
66%
20%
14%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Velarde CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2006 |
VEL
0 - 0
SAN
70%
18%
12%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2006 |
SIE
1 - 0
VEL
41%
27%
33%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2006 |
VEL
1 - 1
GAM
63%
20%
17%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2006 |
RIB
2 - 1
VEL
37%
28%
35%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2006 |
VEL
0 - 6
TRA
71%
17%
12%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | -1 |