Castro vs Santoña CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.9%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
27.1%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+57%
-44%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
MAR
1 - 0
CAS
41%
26%
33%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2013 |
CAS
1 - 0
SIE
36%
25%
39%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
PON
1 - 0
CAS
45%
25%
30%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
CAS
3 - 0
SAN
65%
20%
15%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
BEZ
1 - 1
CAS
34%
26%
40%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Santoña CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
SAN
1 - 0
TEX
69%
19%
12%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2013 |
SAN
1 - 2
MAR
54%
24%
22%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
SIE
3 - 0
SAN
48%
25%
28%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
SAN
1 - 0
PON
48%
24%
28%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
SAN
2 - 2
SAN
26%
25%
49%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | 0 |