Castro vs SD Gama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.6%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
26%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+97%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
PRE
0 - 4
CAS
27%
23%
50%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
CAY
0 - 3
CAS
20%
22%
58%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
CAS
2 - 2
NOJ
65%
20%
15%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
ATM
3 - 1
CAS
56%
20%
23%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
CAS
4 - 0
VLE
62%
21%
17%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
SD Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
GAM
3 - 2
NOJ
55%
22%
23%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
ATM
4 - 2
GAM
67%
18%
16%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
GAM
2 - 0
VLE
54%
22%
25%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
AYR
0 - 2
GAM
38%
25%
38%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
GAM
1 - 0
RAM
39%
23%
38%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | +1 |