Castro vs SD Gama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.7%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
17.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.1%
1-0
16.8%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
18.1%
7.3%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+70%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 1989 |
CAS
5 - 1
BAR
60%
24%
17%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1989 |
REO
1 - 1
CAS
32%
29%
39%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 1989 |
CAS
3 - 0
RAM
62%
24%
14%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 1989 |
CAS
4 - 0
MCU
68%
21%
11%
|
23 | 13 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1988 |
CAY
0 - 0
CAS
36%
28%
36%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
SD Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 1989 |
CAY
1 - 2
GAM
76%
17%
8%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1989 |
GAM
0 - 1
AST
22%
26%
52%
|
11 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1989 |
VEL
0 - 2
GAM
71%
19%
11%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 1989 |
GAM
2 - 0
CUL
24%
25%
51%
|
8 | 14 | 6 | +2 |
| 31 Dec. 1988 |
RAY
5 - 0
GAM
89%
9%
2%
|
8 | 31 | 23 | 0 |