Castro vs Cayón B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.9%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
30.6%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+82%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
NOJ
0 - 4
CAS
51%
23%
26%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
CAS
1 - 1
ATM
24%
21%
55%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
VLE
4 - 1
CAS
59%
21%
20%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
CAS
2 - 0
AYR
46%
25%
29%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
RAM
0 - 3
CAS
56%
21%
23%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Cayón B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
CAY
4 - 2
NUE
60%
20%
21%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
NOJ
1 - 0
CAY
44%
23%
33%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
CAY
0 - 0
MER
50%
22%
28%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
ATM
6 - 0
CAY
60%
19%
22%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
CAY
0 - 0
BAR
36%
23%
41%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | 0 |