Castro vs Cayón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.4%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
7%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.3%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.6%
58%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
14.9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.3%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+76%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
GIM
3 - 0
CAS
80%
14%
7%
|
23 | 38 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
CAS
1 - 2
RAC
21%
25%
55%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
ALB
1 - 0
CAS
23%
24%
53%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
CAS
0 - 0
RAY
35%
27%
38%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
CAS
4 - 1
SEL
50%
26%
25%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Cayón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
CAY
0 - 0
LAR
46%
26%
28%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
SIE
1 - 1
CAY
26%
26%
49%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
CAY
1 - 0
VEL
68%
20%
12%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
ESC
1 - 1
CAY
26%
25%
49%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
CAY
1 - 1
BAR
66%
21%
13%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | -1 |