Castro vs SD Barreda Balompié analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.2%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
30.3%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+49%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
CAR
2 - 0
CAS
37%
24%
39%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
CAS
2 - 0
COL
35%
25%
41%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
TEX
1 - 3
CAS
41%
24%
35%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
CAS
0 - 0
NOJ
41%
25%
34%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
SAM
1 - 1
CAS
55%
22%
24%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
SD Barreda Balompié
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
BAR
1 - 1
CUL
30%
24%
47%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
BAR
2 - 1
MAR
24%
23%
53%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
CAR
1 - 1
BAR
54%
22%
24%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
BAR
1 - 1
COL
26%
22%
51%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
TEX
0 - 0
BAR
56%
22%
22%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | +1 |