Castro B vs Velarde Camargo B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.8%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.3%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.3%
36.9%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castro B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
RIO
0 - 8
CAS
22%
20%
59%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
CAS
1 - 3
UNI
68%
18%
14%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
SAM
0 - 0
CAS
40%
22%
39%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
CAS
4 - 1
ROB
76%
14%
10%
|
17 | 10 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
CAS
5 - 2
PON
70%
16%
14%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Velarde Camargo B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
VEL
3 - 4
CAS
35%
22%
43%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
MDC
3 - 3
VEL
18%
18%
64%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
VEL
0 - 2
LIE
26%
22%
52%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
SJU
0 - 3
VEL
7%
14%
79%
|
19 | 7 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
VEL
4 - 0
FOC
37%
23%
40%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | +1 |