Castro B vs EMF Meruelo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.4%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.1%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.3%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
38.2%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castro B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
ESP
3 - 3
CAS
36%
22%
42%
|
8 | 6 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
CAS
1 - 3
VIL
14%
18%
68%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
CAS
4 - 1
SJU
55%
21%
25%
|
8 | 6 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
SAM
1 - 1
CAS
77%
14%
9%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
JDM
2 - 1
CAS
87%
9%
4%
|
7 | 15 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
EMF Meruelo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
MER
1 - 2
JDM
26%
23%
52%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
REV
4 - 4
MER
77%
14%
9%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
FOR
0 - 3
MER
25%
22%
54%
|
9 | 5 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
MER
3 - 0
VEL
41%
22%
38%
|
8 | 9 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
AGU
1 - 2
MER
49%
21%
29%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | +1 |