Castro B vs Jesus del Monte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.4%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
31.6%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+103%
+91%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castro B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
LIE
4 - 0
CAS
73%
16%
11%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
CAS
1 - 1
SAN
34%
24%
42%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
REV
2 - 3
CAS
59%
20%
21%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
CAS
3 - 0
ADC
61%
19%
20%
|
9 | 5 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
NMB
2 - 0
CAS
44%
23%
34%
|
10 | 8 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Jesus del Monte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
JDM
1 - 2
RGA
25%
22%
53%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
VEL
4 - 3
JDM
18%
20%
63%
|
11 | 6 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
JDM
2 - 0
RIO
76%
14%
10%
|
11 | 5 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
CAL
8 - 0
JDM
41%
24%
35%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | -2 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
JDM
2 - 1
FOC
73%
16%
11%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | 0 |