Castro B vs Fortuna Camargo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.3%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.3%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
54%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
+41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castro B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
SAN
8 - 0
CAS
78%
15%
7%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
CAS
0 - 3
MER
38%
23%
38%
|
8 | 10 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
ESP
3 - 3
CAS
36%
22%
42%
|
8 | 6 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
CAS
1 - 3
VIL
14%
18%
68%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
CAS
4 - 1
SJU
55%
21%
25%
|
8 | 6 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Fortuna Camargo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
FOC
2 - 2
JDM
32%
23%
46%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
REV
8 - 6
FOC
65%
18%
18%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
FOC
3 - 0
FOR
84%
10%
6%
|
10 | 5 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
VEL
1 - 2
FOC
29%
22%
49%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
AGU
0 - 1
FOC
23%
20%
56%
|
10 | 5 | 5 | 0 |