Castro B vs Castroverde analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.4%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.5%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.4%
42.3%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
8%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.6%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+102%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castro B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
SJU
1 - 1
CAS
22%
21%
57%
|
9 | 5 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
CAS
2 - 1
AFR
55%
20%
25%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
SJU
0 - 6
CAS
42%
23%
35%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | +2 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
CAS
1 - 2
SAM
12%
16%
72%
|
8 | 14 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
CAS
2 - 3
JDM
22%
22%
57%
|
8 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Castroverde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
CAS
3 - 1
LIE
18%
18%
63%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
JDM
1 - 2
CAS
74%
14%
11%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2023 |
COM
3 - 1
CAS
48%
21%
31%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
CAS
1 - 6
BEZ
26%
21%
53%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
SRO
0 - 3
CAS
17%
18%
65%
|
11 | 5 | 6 | 0 |