Castro Daire vs Espinho analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.7%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
37.5%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castro Daire
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
CAS
1 - 0
TRA
69%
18%
14%
|
35 | 17 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
GOU
1 - 2
CAS
51%
22%
27%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
CAS
2 - 1
ANA
20%
24%
56%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | +2 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
LUS
0 - 3
CAS
39%
24%
37%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
RDA
0 - 2
CAS
44%
24%
32%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Espinho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
UNI
1 - 1
ESP
19%
21%
60%
|
40 | 21 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
ESP
1 - 2
LEC
54%
24%
22%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
ESP
2 - 1
LUS
79%
14%
7%
|
41 | 24 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
LUS
0 - 4
ESP
58%
23%
19%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | +2 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
ESP
3 - 0
SAO
45%
26%
29%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | +1 |