Castilleja vs UD Tomares analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.2%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.8%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.2%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
39.1%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castilleja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
CDR
1 - 0
CAS
37%
24%
38%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
CAS
3 - 1
VIL
45%
24%
31%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
LAP
2 - 0
CAS
66%
19%
15%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
CAS
2 - 1
CAC
65%
20%
15%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
LEB
0 - 0
CAS
34%
26%
40%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
UD Tomares
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
VIL
1 - 4
UDT
45%
23%
32%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
UDT
1 - 4
LEB
79%
13%
8%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
UDT
1 - 2
CCF
56%
22%
22%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2023 |
CCF
1 - 0
UDT
35%
25%
40%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
UDT
3 - 2
ALG
47%
23%
30%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | +1 |