Castilleja vs Arcos CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.9%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.4%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.3%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
45.5%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.8%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castilleja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
SRO
3 - 0
CAS
24%
24%
52%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
CAS
0 - 1
REC
75%
16%
9%
|
29 | 18 | 11 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
CEU
3 - 1
CAS
38%
26%
36%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | -2 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
CAS
5 - 0
LEB
37%
25%
38%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | +3 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
ECI
5 - 1
CAS
44%
24%
32%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Arcos CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
ARC
3 - 1
ESP
74%
16%
10%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
UTR
1 - 2
ARC
43%
23%
33%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
SRO
1 - 3
ARC
25%
25%
51%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
ARC
7 - 0
REC
74%
17%
10%
|
32 | 19 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
CEU
2 - 6
ARC
45%
26%
29%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | +2 |