Castilleja vs Algeciras CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.3%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.6%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
58%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castilleja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2017 |
CAB
0 - 3
CAS
54%
24%
22%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
CAS
1 - 2
CDG
30%
24%
46%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
CDG
4 - 1
CAS
70%
17%
13%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
CAS
1 - 2
SEV
35%
27%
39%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
SRQ
4 - 0
CAS
76%
16%
8%
|
26 | 40 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Algeciras CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2017 |
ALG
1 - 0
ESP
71%
18%
12%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
ARC
1 - 4
ALG
43%
26%
31%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | +2 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
ALG
2 - 1
SRO
83%
12%
5%
|
40 | 19 | 21 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
REC
0 - 5
ALG
22%
25%
53%
|
39 | 23 | 16 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
ALG
0 - 0
CEU
66%
20%
14%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |