Castenaso Vill… vs Fidenza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.4%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.6%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.5%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
44.9%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castenaso Vill…
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
CAM
0 - 1
CAS
58%
21%
21%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
CAS
0 - 3
MEZ
21%
22%
57%
|
23 | 38 | 15 | -2 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
VIR
2 - 2
CAS
74%
16%
11%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
CAS
0 - 2
PIA
21%
22%
57%
|
24 | 39 | 15 | -2 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
CAS
1 - 2
PIS
19%
22%
59%
|
24 | 42 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Fidenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
FID
0 - 2
ASL
19%
24%
57%
|
33 | 50 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
SPA
3 - 0
FID
72%
18%
10%
|
33 | 52 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
FID
2 - 0
ROS
65%
21%
15%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2013 |
FID
1 - 0
FOR
47%
25%
29%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
FOR
0 - 1
FID
30%
26%
44%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | 0 |