Castellar vs Berga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.5%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
30.2%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castellar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
NTE
3 - 2
CUE
30%
23%
47%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
CUE
4 - 1
TTR
63%
19%
18%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
SAL
1 - 1
CUE
18%
22%
61%
|
11 | 6 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
SAB
5 - 1
CUE
67%
19%
15%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
CUE
2 - 2
PIR
26%
22%
52%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Berga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
BER
1 - 0
NTE
54%
21%
25%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
TTR
2 - 2
BER
33%
23%
45%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
SAL
0 - 2
BER
27%
24%
49%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
BER
5 - 6
SAB
21%
23%
57%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2022 |
PIR
2 - 1
BER
74%
15%
11%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | -1 |