Castellanzese vs Real Calepina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.6%
Win probability
2.85
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.9%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.8%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14.4%
11%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castellanzese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
USB
1 - 1
CAS
45%
22%
33%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
CAS
0 - 1
CRE
69%
17%
14%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
UNI
2 - 0
CAS
43%
24%
33%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
CAL
1 - 3
CAS
33%
25%
43%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2021 |
CAS
1 - 3
CAR
66%
19%
15%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Real Calepina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
CAL
0 - 1
LEO
60%
20%
20%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
VCB
0 - 3
CAL
71%
17%
13%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | +2 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
CAL
3 - 3
SON
22%
21%
57%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
NOV
0 - 3
CAL
54%
21%
25%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | +2 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
CAL
0 - 1
FOL
26%
23%
50%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | -1 |