Castellanzese vs Desenzano Calvina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.7%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
4%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
6%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
16.8%
16.5%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castellanzese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
CAS
3 - 1
CAS
39%
22%
39%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
CAS
1 - 2
OLG
85%
10%
5%
|
39 | 23 | 16 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2021 |
CAS
2 - 3
VCB
77%
14%
10%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
SON
2 - 0
CAS
23%
24%
53%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | -2 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
CAS
2 - 0
NOV
84%
10%
6%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Desenzano Calvina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
DES
1 - 2
SAN
35%
22%
42%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
USP
0 - 1
DES
40%
24%
37%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2021 |
DES
1 - 0
CAL
69%
17%
14%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
ADR
0 - 3
DES
56%
21%
23%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | +2 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
DES
2 - 0
VIL
57%
21%
22%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | +1 |