Paraense Inicial . Jor. 2

Castanhal vs Itupiranga analysis

Castanhal Itupiranga
40 ELO 17
-7.2% Tilt -2%
6437º General ELO ranking 43138º
236º Country ELO ranking 1137º
ELO win probability
73.6%
Castanhal
15.7%
Draw
10.7%
Itupiranga

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.6%
Win probability
Castanhal
2.55
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.8%
3-0
9%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.7%
10.7%
Win probability
Itupiranga
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Castanhal
-31%
+26%
Itupiranga

ELO progression

Castanhal
Itupiranga
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Castanhal
Castanhal
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Feb. 2021
PAY
Paysandu
1 - 1
Castanhal
CAS
78%
15%
7%
39 58 19 0
21 Aug. 2020
REM
Remo
2 - 0
Castanhal
CAS
75%
17%
8%
40 56 16 -1
14 Aug. 2020
CAS
Castanhal
0 - 1
Remo
REM
18%
23%
59%
41 55 14 -1
04 Aug. 2020
CAS
Castanhal
2 - 1
Independiente PA
IND
44%
26%
31%
40 41 1 +1
01 Aug. 2020
CAS
Castanhal
2 - 1
Tapajós
TAP
59%
20%
21%
39 31 8 +1

Matches

Itupiranga
Itupiranga
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Mar. 2021
SCI
Itupiranga
1 - 3
Paragominas
PAR
15%
18%
67%
18 42 24 0
05 Aug. 2020
SCI
Itupiranga
1 - 4
Paysandu
PAY
6%
13%
82%
18 63 45 0
01 Aug. 2020
SCI
Itupiranga
3 - 2
Carajas
CEC
73%
16%
11%
18 9 9 0
15 Mar. 2020
TAP
Tapajós
0 - 0
Itupiranga
SCI
65%
19%
16%
18 31 13 0
07 Mar. 2020
AGU
Aguia de Maraba
1 - 0
Itupiranga
SCI
73%
16%
11%
18 38 20 0
X