Castanet vs Béziers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.9%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.9%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.6%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.3%
70.8%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
14.8%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
14.9%
1-3
6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.8%
0-3
10%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
13.4%
0-4
5%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.3%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
2º
11º
4º
57
1º
4º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
57 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
41 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 39 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 37 |
6º
|
86.5% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 34 |
7º
|
44% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
57.5% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
82% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 28 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 16 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castanet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
MON
2 - 2
CAS
57%
21%
21%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
CAS
0 - 1
SAM
40%
23%
38%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
COL
0 - 0
CAS
58%
21%
21%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
ROD
1 - 3
CAS
46%
22%
32%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
NIM
0 - 1
CAS
38%
25%
37%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Béziers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
BEZ
3 - 0
ROD
85%
11%
4%
|
53 | 28 | 25 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
FCA
1 - 4
BEZ
11%
20%
69%
|
52 | 33 | 19 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
BEZ
1 - 0
TOU
80%
14%
6%
|
52 | 36 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
BAL
0 - 1
BEZ
7%
18%
76%
|
52 | 30 | 22 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
BEZ
3 - 1
ANG
70%
19%
12%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |