Castanet vs Bayonne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.2%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.8%
15%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
1º
4º
3º
30
4º
13º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 55 |
1º
|
74% | |
|
2º
|
51 | 54 |
2º
|
74% | |
|
|
3º
|
47 | 50 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 45 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 34 |
6º
|
32.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
30 | 33 |
7º
|
19% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 33 |
8º
|
14% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 32 |
9º
|
9.5% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 30 |
11º
|
57.5% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
57.5% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 18 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 11 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castanet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
CRF
1 - 1
CAS
33%
28%
39%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
CAS
2 - 1
SEP
80%
13%
7%
|
39 | 14 | 25 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
CAS
2 - 0
FCA
63%
19%
18%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
BLA
0 - 0
CAS
33%
28%
39%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
CAS
0 - 0
FCP
59%
21%
19%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Bayonne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
BAY
0 - 1
BLA
35%
26%
40%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
FCP
4 - 1
BAY
58%
22%
20%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
BAY
0 - 1
LES
31%
28%
41%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
BAY
3 - 0
STA
31%
23%
46%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | +2 |
| 27 Mar. 2024 |
BLA
4 - 1
BAY
49%
25%
25%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |