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Chatham Cup New Zealand. Ronda Preliminar, 1/16

Cashmere Technical vs Nelson Suburbs analysis

Cashmere Technical Nelson Suburbs
18 ELO 14
206% Tilt 61%
5325º General ELO ranking 6793º
Country ELO ranking 17º
ELO win probability
82.7%
Cashmere Technical
9%
Draw
8.3%
Nelson Suburbs

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.7%
Win probability
Cashmere Technical
4.37
Expected goals
12-0
<0%
13-1
<0%
+12
<0%
11-0
0.1%
12-1
<0%
13-2
<0%
+11
0.1%
10-0
0.2%
11-1
0.1%
12-2
<0%
+10
0.3%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.3%
11-2
0.1%
12-3
<0%
+9
0.8%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.7%
10-2
0.2%
11-3
<0%
+8
1.8%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
1.3%
9-2
0.5%
10-3
0.1%
11-4
<0%
+7
3.5%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
2.5%
8-2
1.1%
9-3
0.3%
10-4
<0%
+6
6.3%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
3.9%
7-2
2%
8-3
0.6%
9-4
0.1%
10-5
<0%
+5
10%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
5.4%
6-2
3.2%
7-3
1.1%
8-4
0.2%
9-5
<0%
+4
13.8%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
4.4%
6-3
1.7%
7-4
0.4%
8-5
0.1%
+3
16.3%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
5%
5-3
2.3%
6-4
0.7%
7-5
0.1%
8-6
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
1.1%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
2.7%
5-4
0.9%
6-5
0.2%
7-6
<0%
+1
13.4%
9%
Draw
0-0
0.3%
1-1
1.8%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
1.1%
5-5
0.3%
6-6
0.1%
0
9%
8.3%
Win probability
Nelson Suburbs
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
0.4%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0.1%
6-7
0%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%