Casetas vs UB Conquense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.2%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.8%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.9%
48.9%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
15%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
25.4%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casetas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2004 |
PON
2 - 0
UDC
70%
19%
11%
|
35 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2004 |
UDC
2 - 2
BUR
30%
31%
39%
|
35 | 58 | 23 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2004 |
UDC
2 - 1
MAJ
52%
24%
24%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2003 |
CFP
1 - 1
UDC
56%
24%
20%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2003 |
UDC
0 - 2
RMC
23%
26%
51%
|
34 | 58 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
UB Conquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2004 |
UBC
0 - 0
CDT
59%
24%
17%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2004 |
TAL
0 - 0
UBC
30%
30%
39%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2004 |
CUL
1 - 2
UBC
61%
23%
17%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2003 |
UBC
2 - 0
MIR
50%
26%
24%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2003 |
ATB
2 - 1
UBC
51%
26%
22%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |