Casertana vs USD Bitonto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.3%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
15.9%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casertana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
LAV
2 - 2
CAS
23%
23%
54%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
CAS
2 - 0
PVM
90%
8%
2%
|
52 | 22 | 30 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2021 |
NOC
1 - 3
CAS
24%
26%
50%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
CAS
2 - 2
AUD
59%
22%
19%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2021 |
CAS
5 - 1
FBC
75%
17%
8%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
USD Bitonto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
USB
0 - 0
BIS
59%
23%
18%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
FBC
3 - 0
USB
19%
25%
56%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | -2 |
| 03 Nov. 2021 |
VIR
0 - 0
USB
24%
22%
54%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
USB
2 - 1
ASD
69%
20%
12%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
VIR
0 - 1
USB
33%
25%
42%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |