Caselas vs Cambados analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.2%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
29.4%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+111%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caselas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2010 |
CAS
2 - 4
POR
38%
25%
36%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2010 |
SPO
1 - 2
CAS
46%
24%
30%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2009 |
CAS
0 - 1
CRU
55%
21%
24%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
ARO
2 - 1
CAS
63%
20%
17%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
CAS
4 - 2
BAR
38%
23%
39%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Cambados
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2010 |
CAM
1 - 0
SAN
42%
25%
34%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2010 |
POR
2 - 1
CAM
52%
24%
24%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2009 |
CAM
2 - 1
SPO
58%
22%
20%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
CRU
1 - 2
CAM
49%
24%
27%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
CAM
0 - 2
ARO
45%
23%
32%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | -1 |