Cascavel FC vs Rio Branco PR analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.2%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.1%
13.7%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cascavel FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2021 |
RIO
1 - 4
CAS
17%
24%
59%
|
57 | 42 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2021 |
CAS
1 - 0
JUV
62%
23%
15%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2021 |
CAS
2 - 1
ESP
54%
26%
20%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Jun. 2021 |
AIM
1 - 3
CAS
34%
27%
40%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Jun. 2021 |
CAS
1 - 0
CAX
45%
29%
27%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Rio Branco PR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2021 |
RIO
1 - 4
CAS
17%
24%
59%
|
42 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2021 |
AIM
1 - 0
RIO
61%
22%
17%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Jul. 2021 |
RIO
0 - 0
JEC
32%
27%
41%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2021 |
JUV
0 - 0
RIO
51%
24%
26%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2021 |
RIO
0 - 1
MAR
31%
28%
41%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | 0 |