El Casar vs Sagreño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.7%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.4%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
2.1%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.1%
76.2%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
15%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.7%
0-3
11.4%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
15.7%
0-4
6.5%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
8.4%
0-5
3%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.7%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1074%
-53%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
El Casar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
CON
1 - 0
CAS
49%
24%
27%
|
6 | 6 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
CAS
1 - 1
CBA
15%
21%
64%
|
5 | 11 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
ATA
3 - 1
CAS
63%
20%
17%
|
6 | 9 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
CAS
1 - 0
GPR
25%
22%
53%
|
5 | 8 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
ATG
3 - 1
CAS
56%
22%
22%
|
5 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Sagreño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
SAG
3 - 2
YUN
79%
13%
8%
|
14 | 8 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
CDP
2 - 0
SAG
35%
25%
40%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
SAG
1 - 0
SCU
54%
22%
24%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
JDO
0 - 0
SAG
8%
14%
78%
|
15 | 7 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
SAG
3 - 0
MAN
88%
8%
4%
|
15 | 7 | 8 | 0 |