Casale vs Stresa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.5%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
12.6%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
CAS
0 - 1
ASA
17%
20%
63%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
CAS
1 - 1
VAR
44%
28%
28%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
CAS
1 - 0
BOR
31%
27%
42%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | +2 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
SER
2 - 0
CAS
53%
23%
24%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | -2 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
CAS
2 - 1
PAV
22%
24%
54%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | +2 |